2018 Midterm Update: What Has Changed Since Election Night

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Since Election Day, Democrats have gained an additional three seats in the House, winning 30 seats overall to dominate the House with 225 seats so far.  Republicans did win one seat post-Election Day and currently have 200 seats.  Ten House seats are still undecided.  In an upset in the Senate, Arizona’s Republican seat that was won by Martha McSally on Election Day has been flipped blue as mail-in ballots gave controversial Democrat candidate Kyrsten Sinema the win.  Democrats now hold 47 Senate seats, while Republicans maintain a slim majority of 51 seats after the loss.  One Senate seat is still in play as Mississippi will hold a runoff vote on November 27.  Democrats in Florida are fighting to take Republican Rick Scott’s Election Day victory, which would remove the current Republican majority in the Senate.  Democrats have picked up seven governors’ seats, giving them control of 23 governorships. Republicans control 25.  There are two gubernatorial races that are still undecided.

The state of play in key races has shifted since election night almost one week ago, offering a different picture of where the balance of power will stand in Washington come January.

Democrats have taken the lead in a handful of key House races while the margin in Florida’s senate race has narrowed, forcing a recount.
A key US Senate race in Arizona was settled on Monday night — six days after Election Day — when Republican Rep. Martha McSally conceded to Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema.
Two governors’ races remain undecided in Georgia and Florida.
Here’s a breakdown of where key races stand:

House

In the six days since election night, Democrats picked up three House seats, while Republicans picked up one.
Democrats so far have picked up a net of 30 seats in the House of Representatives, with 10 key races still undecided. That brings the current balance of power tally to 225 Democratic-held seats and 200 Republican seats.
In the still undecided races, Democrats have taken the lead in four since election night to give them an overall advantage in seven out of 10 of them.
CA-10: Democrat Josh Harder leads Republican Rep. Jeff Denham (lead flipped since election night)

California

House 10

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
Harder96,320
51.3%
Denham91,401
48.7%
CA-39: Republican Young Kim leads Democrat Gil Cisneros

California

House 39

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
Kim93,452
50.2%
Cisneros92,741
49.8%
CA-45: Democrat Katie Porter leads Republican Rep. Mimi Walters (lead has flipped since election night)

California

House 45

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
Porter116,732
50.1%
Walters116,471
49.9%
CA-48: Democrat Harley Rouda leads Republican Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (lead has grown since election night)

California

House 48

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
Rouda118,210
52.3%
Rohrabacher107,612
47.7%
CA-49: Democrat Mike Levin leads Republican Diane Harkey (lead has grown since election night)

California

House 49

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
Levin123,328
55.0%
Harkey101,048
45.0%
GA-7: Republican Rep. Rob Woodall leads Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux

Georgia

House 7

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
Woodall139,837
50.2%
Bourdeaux138,936
49.8%
NJ-3: Democrat Andrew Kim leads Republican Rep. Tom MacArthur (lead has flipped since election night)

New Jersey

House 3

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
Kim150,405
49.9%
MacArthur146,978
48.8%
NM-2: Democrat Xochitl Torres Small leads Republican Yvette Herrell (lead has flipped since election night)

New Mexico

House 2

est. 98% in
candidatevotes%
Torres Small100,570
50.9%
Herrell97,031
49.1%
UT-4: Democrat Ben McAdams leads Republican Rep. Mia Love

Utah

House 4

est. 100% in
candidatevotes%
McAdams115,549
50.3%
Love114,320
49.7%
ME-2: Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin (46.1%) leads Democrat Jared Golden (45.9%) (this race is headed to a ranked-choice runoff)

Senate

Republicans currently hold 51 seats. Democrats hold 47 seats.
One key Senate race remains undecided, and Mississippi will head to a runoff November 27.
The biggest shifts since election night: Democrats picked up a seat in Arizona, and the Republican lead in Florida has narrowed, forcing a recount.
Arizona: Democrat Sinema defeated Republican McSally

Read full article here…

 

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