Egyptian Government Sees Population ​Growth as ‘Catastrophic’

Egypt is the Arab world’s most populous country, with 96 million inhabitants, which is expected to reach 119 million in 2030. Egypt is mostly uninhabitable desert, so people are concentrated near the Nile.  Many ​Egyptians view children as caretakers for their parents in old age.  Poor families view children as sources of income. The standard of living is declining,​ and the government is promoting the slogan “two is enough.”

Ali Abdelaziz sees children as a “gift from God”, so much so that he has 10 of his own, even as Egypt’s government struggles to stem a “catastrophic” population boom.
 Abdelaziz works in the capital as a doorman, but his children stay in a village with their mother in the southern province of Minya where life is cheaper.
Egypt’s overpopulation is adding pressure on the economy, already reeling from the political and security turmoil since the 2011 uprising that toppled former president Hosni Mubarak.

With 96 million inhabitants — and 9.4 million expatriates — the Arab world’s most populous country adds 1.6 million people every year to its population.

At the current rate, Egypt’s population will reach 119 million in 2030, according to a May report by the United Nations Population Fund.

With 95 percent of Egypt’s land uninhabitable desert, the population is concentrated around the narrow Nile valley and Nile Delta, with smaller numbers along the Mediterranean and Red Sea coasts.

 A fall in mortality rates in the early 1970s further boosted the population growth.

President Abdel Fattah al-Sissi has said population growth is “a challenge as critical as that of terrorism.”

The government launched a new family planning campaign this year under the slogan “two are enough,” to try to contain the phenomenon.

“Children are protection: they care for their parents when they grow older,” said Abdelaziz, the doorman, unconvinced of the campaign.

But Hayam Mohamed, a mother of three, does not want more children and uses a government family planning center in Umm Khenan village of Giza province.

 “I don’t want my children to feel deprived,” Mohamed, 32, said after receiving her contraception pills, free of charge, from the center’s doctor, like many others in her village.

“Education is expensive, and life has become difficult with the rising prices.”

Fardous Hamed, a doctor at the center, told AFP that the number of people seeking its services has risen with the latest round of price increases since authorities floated the pound in November 2016.

“Awareness grew among people here,” said Hamed.

Following the currency flotation, the pound lost more than half its value and inflation jumped to 33 percent in September.

“If I give birth to five or six children, I won’t even be able to provide them food,” said Mohamed.

‘Collective suicide’

 Abu Bakr el-Gendy, the head of Egypt’s state statistics bureau which carried out the latest census, described the current rate of population growth as a “catastrophe.”

He said the annual rate accelerated between 2005 and 2014, before stabilizing in 2016 at around 2.6 percent.

The rate must be at least three times lower than economic growth for people’s living standards not to deteriorate, according to Gendy.

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